Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.311446 0.334916 0.359968 0.388811 0.421244 0.456755 0.498804
2025-02-02 0.272405 0.308368 0.349902 0.402053 0.466716 0.545562 0.651094
2025-02-09 0.240147 0.282026 0.333268 0.402048 0.494386 0.617968 0.803401
2025-02-16 0.213355 0.257241 0.313246 0.392313 0.505339 0.668803 0.940323
2025-02-23 0.196546 0.242318 0.302884 0.392303 0.527716 0.738714 1.127651
2025-03-02 0.181184 0.227251 0.289955 0.385905 0.538292 0.791472 1.304759
2025-03-09 0.168059 0.213762 0.277432 0.377832 0.543968 0.836270 1.484607
2025-03-16 0.157327 0.202562 0.266875 0.371043 0.549990 0.882316 1.688387
2025-03-23 0.151969 0.198448 0.266123 0.379296 0.582816 0.987560 2.095120
2025-03-30 0.144134 0.190078 0.258103 0.374485 0.590891 1.044147 2.411318
2025-04-06 0.134619 0.178590 0.244360 0.358474 0.575144 1.044274 2.555123
2025-04-13 0.125468 0.167147 0.229936 0.339965 0.552030 1.022425 2.613970
2025-04-20 0.121430 0.163479 0.227986 0.343942 0.576306 1.126099 3.264382
2025-04-27 0.119933 0.163685 0.232419 0.360238 0.630402 1.331613 4.737156
2025-05-04 0.115785 0.159497 0.229292 0.362186 0.653993 1.465757 6.223449
2025-05-11 0.110324 0.152902 0.221618 0.354539 0.654068 1.528994 7.463219
2025-05-18 0.106655 0.148958 0.218167 0.354782 0.673250 1.666940 10.063645
2025-05-25 0.102384 0.143797 0.212233 0.349361 0.677302 1.754589 12.802867
2025-06-01 0.098214 0.138592 0.205877 0.342429 0.676244 1.823896 16.081199
2025-06-08 0.094515 0.133985 0.200298 0.336574 0.677094 1.903653 20.917242
2025-06-15 0.092953 0.132836 0.200825 0.343708 0.715258 2.177010 40.169572
2025-06-22 0.089932 0.129089 0.196375 0.339555 0.720385 2.298778 63.275101
2025-06-29 0.085795 0.123292 0.187858 0.325700 0.694518 2.244633 69.979769